Another surge in COVID-19 cases is expected in Arkansas, but the latest forecast from the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences says that’s not likely for at least another month.

Shortly after the first case of COVID-19 was identified in Arkansas in 2020, the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences began using data to predict how the virus would spread in the state. Dr. Mark Williams, dean of the UAMS College of Public Health, said Germany and the United Kingdom have become reasonably good predictors of surges in the U.S.

https://www.ualrpublicradio.org/local-regional-news/2022-03-23/latest-uams-forecast-lull-in-covid-cases-followed-by-another-wave

*David Monteith/KUAR News*
The latest forecast from the UAMS predicts a month of relatively few COVID-19 cases, followed by a new surge triggered by the deltacron variant.

KUAR | By Talk Business & Politics Staff
Published January 14, 2022 at 3:21 PM CST

As many as 500,000 Arkansans may become infected with the omicron variant of COVID-19 in the coming weeks if trends continue, including 1,764 additional hospitalizations and 341 deaths by Feb. 8.

The projections from the University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences Fay W. Boozman College of Public Health are based on data provided by the Department of Health through Jan. 9. The model forecasts 106,419 new COVID cases by Jan. 24 and 285,642 new cases by Feb. 8, which would be an increase of more than 36%. 10,000 new cases are expected per day.

176 additional deaths are projected by Jan. 24 and 341 by Feb. 8, which would equal roughly 11 new deaths per day. There would be 855 additional hospitalizations by Jan. 24, with the state reaching 85 daily hospitalizations by Feb. 8.

https://www.ualrpublicradio.org/local-regional-news/2022-01-14/uams-forecast-omicron-could-strike-500-000-arkansans-through-february

Latest UAMS forecast: lull in COVID cases followed by another wave

UAMS forecast: COVID could infect 500,000 more Arkansans through February